France and Germany are among the biggest senior living markets in Europe in terms of demand. Developers and operators are keen to establish new residences meeting high-quality standards and make substantial investments in this sector. However, according to reports published earlier by Mozaïc Asset Management and BONARD on France and Germany, the markets remain significantly undersupplied.
There are several demographic fundamentals behind the rising cohort of potential customers, of which an aging population is the most important. Currently, more than 9,000,000 seniors over 75 years old live in Germany (11.5% of the total population), whereas in France this group numbers roughly 6,300,000 (9.6% of the total population).
Other important factors behind the strong demand are that people are living longer (life expectancy at birth currently stands at 83 for France and 81 for Germany) and quality of life is improving (GDP per capita in constant prices over the last 30 years increased by 36% in France and 46% in Germany).
According to projections, in 2025 there will be 9,800,000 seniors in Germany and 6,500,000 in France.
The total number of apartments in assisted living establishments in the top 20 cities is 21,700 in France and 64,844 in Germany. The total provision rate fluctuates at around 4% in both markets, while the provision rate of private residences is slightly over 1%.
In the coming 2-5 years, roughly 14,600 assisted living apartments will be added in France and 16,400 in Germany. Despite the apparent boom in senior housing construction, however, the expected supply will not even be sufficient to maintain provision rates at current levels. As a result, these two markets will remain focal destinations for big domestic and foreign institutional investors, which are looking for big opportunities in this sector due to the strong fundamentals driving demand in the long term.
Head of Research
Head of Rented Residential Division
Head of Senior Living
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BONARD is a global market research and investment intelligence firm assisting with data, strategies and assessments in rented residential asset classes, incl. student housing, micro living, co-living, senior living, etc. The team of 50 researchers and analysts operating in four offices around the world provide the highest level of secondary and primary in-field data (street level/ground interviews), making BONARD a leading provider of independent and reliable data and research for the asset class.
The company provides up to 250+ KPIs per city as well as data such as demand, supply, portfolios, prices, pipeline or customer preferences in over 100 cities.
About MoZaïC AM
MoZaïC Asset Management SAS is an independent real estate asset manager specialized in healthcare real estate in Europe, healthcare being defined as senior housing, nursing homes, clinics, medical office buildings and nurseries.
MoZaïC Asset Management partners with operators in implementing their development strategies as well as with investors in purchasing, managing and exploiting healthcare real estate assets in Europe.